What they said.What it moves.

Meantly reads what leaders, central banks and companies say, and turns each statement into an expected move for 69 markets, from 4 hours to a month out. Every call is checked against the real price, and the hit rate is public.

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Feed is free, no account Every call scored against the market Every read links to its source

Marco Rubio · US Secretary of StateExample · 18 Oct 2026

What they said

“These conflicts around the world are starting to crash into each other, and they're having an impact not just on global oil and diesel prices.”

What they meant

Rubio is justifying the pause on Russia sanctions by framing analytical caution as risk management, not weakness. Signals the administration prefers negotiation over escalation.

Can they act · is it new

● Acts: head of government↻ Repeat: same line since 24 Sep (6×)Catalyst: none dated

What it moves · expected · 1 week

4 h24 h3 d1 w1 m

Energy · XLE

▲ +0.5 to +1.8%

conf 35 · repeat

Brent crude

▲ +0.8 to +1.5%

conf 35 · repeat

US dollar · DXY

▼ −0.1 to −0.25%

conf 35 · repeat

3 of 69 markets affected · known position, watch for a change · resolves Fri 23 Oct at the close

Speculative read to think with, not advice. Scored against the market when it resolves.Full sector view ↗

See it in 80 seconds

What they said, what it moves

How it works

From a statement to a number you can check, in minutes

One method for every speaker: a president, the ECB, OPEC, a CEO, a Reuters scoop citing unnamed sources. Same scale, same scoreboard.

We collect

Official transcripts, central-bank and company releases, SEC filings and direct quotes in the news, every 15 minutes. Reports citing unnamed sources are kept separate and marked unconfirmed.

We read, then gate

An AI read of the intent, then three gates a trader applies by hand: can the speaker act on this, is the position new or a repeat, and is there a dated catalyst.

We score, then check

Each statement becomes an expected move range for the markets it touches, at 4 h, 24 h, 3 days, 1 week and 1 month. At the horizon we compare with the real price and publish hit or miss.

What you get

Three views, one question: who is moving this market?

Start with the free feed. Pro unlocks the netted sector view, the per-speaker record and the prediction-vs-market tab.

Live feed

Every market-relevant statement with its read, the three gates and the market-impact grid. Most market-moving of the last 12 hours on top.

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Sectors PRO

69 markets: equities by sector, 19 commodities, 28 currencies, rates and crypto. Net expected move from today's statements, who moved it, and expected vs actual for every call.

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Prediction vs market PRO

Hit rate by horizon, market, speaker and speaker type. Which central bankers move the 10-year, which politicians are noise. The lessons feed back into the next day's reads.

See the record →

Track record

We publish the score, including the misses

A call is a hit when the market ends the horizon in the stated direction by at least the low end of the range; partial when it is short of it; a miss when it goes the other way or stays flat. No cherry-picking: every resolved call is listed.

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calls scored, 30 days

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hit rate

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direction right

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inside the range

The scoreboard started on 18 October 2026. Numbers fill in as calls resolve.

What a trader asks	What Meantly shows
Can this person actually move it?	Agency gate: head of government, central bank, minister, regulator or the company itself act; candidates and legislators hold positions.
Is this new?	Novelty gate: a repeat of a known position is flagged, so you know whether the market has heard it before.
When does it matter?	Catalyst date when the statement points to one: a meeting, a vote, a deadline.
By how much?	A range in % (bp for yields) at five horizons, from 4 hours to a month, in trading time.
Did the market care?	Move since the statement, and hit / partial / miss at each horizon.
Who should I listen to?	Hit rate per speaker, per market, per horizon.

Our standards

Transparent by design

Every read is automatic, so we show our working and score ourselves in public.

The mechanism is always shownEvery market call names the mechanism: supply, rates, sanctions, guidance.
Linked to the originalEach item links to the transcript, release, filing or article it came from.
Scored against real pricesHourly and daily prices for every market, horizons in trading time, outcomes published.
Reports are marked as reportsA story citing unnamed sources is never shown as the organisation's own words.

What Meantly is not

Not advice. Every number is a speculative scenario to think with. We are not responsible for trading decisions made on it.

Not a forecast you can follow blindly. The hit rate is the point: it tells you where the read is worth something and where it is noise.

Not a fact-checker. It reads intent and pressure, not whether a claim is true.

AI can misread context. If you spot a mistake, tell us and we'll correct or remove it.

Who runs Meantly

An independent project. No political affiliation, no money from parties, campaigns, governments or issuers. Questions: hello@meantly.com

See who is moving markets with their words today

The live feed is free. Pro unlocks the Sectors page and the record.

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