Meantly / Fear Index
Meantly Fear Index · beta
How much fear leaders are putting into their words right now, from 346 statements by 134 speakers today.
Prices measure what markets feel. This measures what leaders are trying to make you feel.
Market lines are shown for context. The index is young (beta): we publish the relationship only once there are 60+ days of data. Co-movement is not cause.
We have a nation-state that is openly saying, ‘We are targeting commercial vessels; we are trying to kill sailors who have nothing to do with the war; we are trying to sink commercial ships,’. You haven’t seen that since the second world wa
We want Zelensky to make a deal. He can make a deal. He’s going to have to want to make a deal, because I don’t think his people are going to stand for it any longer.
Iran is prepared to give diplomacy another chance. strong evidence of a sincere desire by the US. if US chooses war over diplomacy, it’ll certainly result in an even greater strategic failure.
the beginning of a war, of a trade war with China. We are looking for peaceful solutions, but the level for that is fair trade. to protect our markets and defend ourselves against those who don't play by the rules.
They did not prepare in time, they simply gave up. They succumbed to the invasion of extremist Islam. Fight back, do not pursue a policy of appeasement — fight against the extremists.
Pro
Plus the Meantly read behind every driver, speaker-level fear pulses and the full history.
Go Pro · $9/mo| Speaker | This week | 90-day avg | Change | Statements |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masoud Pezeshkian | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 4 |
| Abbas Araghchi | 1.4 | 1.2 | +0.2 | 8 |
| Scott Bessent | 1.4 | 1.3 | +0.1 | 10 |
| von der Leyen | 1.4 | 1.2 | +0.2 | 4 |
| Kaja Kallas | 1.4 | 1.0 | +0.4 | 8 |
| Friedrich Merz | 1.3 | 1.4 | -0.1 | 3 |
| the IMF | 1.3 | 1.1 | +0.2 | 4 |
| Volodymyr Zelensky | 1.2 | 1.4 | -0.2 | 45 |
| Marco Rubio | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 58 |
| Giorgia Meloni | 1.1 | 0.4 | +0.7 | 3 |
| Emmanuel Macron | 0.9 | 0.7 | +0.2 | 26 |
| the ECB | 0.9 | 0.7 | +0.2 | 8 |
Every statement Meantly reads gets a fear score from 0 to 10: half from fear language (threats, dread, absolutes per 100 words), 30% from how the statement is likely to leave its audience, 20% from risk-off market signals weighted by impact. Scores are averaged per speaker per day, then blended by role: heads of state 50%, ministers and central bankers 30%, legislators, candidates and business leaders 20% (a role needs three speakers that day to count). Days are smoothed with a two-day half-life and the result is ranked against the trailing 90 days to give the 0–100 reading.
